00198 232d84ff9038548cd8ba3d622f949a

00198 232d84ff9038548cd8ba3d622f949a



200


Messina, Montgomery, Keats & Runger

1    51    101    151    201    251

Observa1ion Number (t)


2 1

O -1

re*(t) -2 -3 -4

-5 -6

Figurę 2. Residuals for Shift of 10 Units per Period at Obscrvation 251.


Figurę 3. Prediction Error EWMA with X = 0.1 for a Shift of 10 Units per Period at Observation 251, PMepc/spc = 2.564.


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